PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82F992AA9b803e79fDdb778FD512b6B9399f3950-1760523264221kmak10xcE25E214D5cfE4f459cf67F08DF581885AAE7Fdc-1777575398144arman1969
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (165–34, n=199)88% (20768–2962, n=23730)82% (62–14, n=76)
Consensus PnL—$66K$3.1M$76K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #818PM monthly #380PM monthly #645was PM monthly #1000
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +35 pts n=36968, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—92% of 176 at avg 88¢, ROI +10%100% of 36968 at avg 65¢, ROI +37%83% of 100 at avg 62¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 0% of 1)3% (won 100% of 1029)6% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢—0%15% (won 100% of 5464)28% (won 61% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 91% of 11)42% (won 100% of 15539)25% (won 92% of 25)
Entries 70¢ and up—93% (won 93% of 164)40% (won 100% of 14936)41% (won 98% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.