PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6F9C826bFdd35B662eCbCb5cf0704411cc3Db471-1774486489081totoro3miyazakirandomWalkingShrimpbeheo123
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (23–16, n=39)78% (875–241, n=1116)65% (28–15, n=43)
Consensus PnL—$299K$40K$40K
Tracked asPM monthly #512was PM monthly #256Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)74% (42 of 57 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%81% of 1025 at avg 72¢, ROI +8%86% of 28 at avg 56¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 1)14% (won 19% of 145)18% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 6)7% (won 49% of 70)14% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 12)12% (won 79% of 124)36% (won 100% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 4)67% (won 98% of 686)32% (won 89% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.