PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6F9C826bFdd35B662eCbCb5cf0704411cc3Db471-1774486489081Vampiro1fendopjesterthegoose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (2646–735, n=3381)88% (7–1, n=8)80% (284–70, n=354)
Consensus PnL—$20K$16K$207K
Tracked asPM monthly #512PM monthly #543was PM monthly #911was PM monthly #562 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Elections −5 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—67% of 1398 at avg 60¢, ROI +3%100% of 7 at avg 89¢, ROI +17%80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 23% of 244)0%14% (won 8% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 52% of 209)0%5% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 73% of 285)0%5% (won 65% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—47% (won 86% of 660)100% (won 100% of 7)75% (won 97% of 437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.