PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market77% (33–10, n=43)60% (246–162, n=408)62% (13737–8492, n=22229)
Consensus PnL—$112K$43K$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #512PM monthly #938PM monthly #383was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +32 pts n=7099, ROI +24%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—70% of 47 at avg 48¢, ROI +24%99% of 419 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%85% of 7099 at avg 53¢, ROI +24%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 75% of 4)12% (won 100% of 50)3% (won 17% of 210)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 60% of 25)13% (won 96% of 56)23% (won 82% of 1610)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 83% of 18)34% (won 99% of 142)71% (won 88% of 5012)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%41% (won 99% of 171)4% (won 96% of 267)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.