PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6F9C826bFdd35B662eCbCb5cf0704411cc3Db471-1774486489081IrfanyousufrandomWalkingShrimpLuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market77% (33–10, n=43)78% (875–241, n=1116)88% (693–98, n=791)
Consensus PnL—$112K$40K$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #512PM monthly #938Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (42 of 57 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won—70% of 47 at avg 48¢, ROI +24%81% of 1025 at avg 72¢, ROI +8%88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 75% of 4)14% (won 19% of 145)7% (won 8% of 48)
Entries 30–50¢—53% (won 60% of 25)7% (won 49% of 70)4% (won 44% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢—38% (won 83% of 18)12% (won 79% of 124)7% (won 56% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%67% (won 98% of 686)83% (won 99% of 610)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6F9C826bFdd35B662eCbCb5cf0704411cc3Db471-1774486489081IrfanyousufrandomWalkingShrimpLuckyWin
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $484Yes $1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $440Yes $1