PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x57D579b361F5586874E409749E93953914fb060D-1776337925471totoro3miyazakivovatoxicjesterthegoose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (23–16, n=39)80% (8–2, n=10)80% (284–70, n=354)
Consensus PnL—$299K$132K$207K
Tracked asPM monthly #513was PM monthly #256Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #562 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)70% (7 of 10 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———Elections −5 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%71% of 105 at avg 47¢, ROI +25%80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 47% of 30)14% (won 8% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 6)29% (won 67% of 30)5% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 12)21% (won 86% of 22)5% (won 65% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 96% of 23)75% (won 97% of 437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.