PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x57D579b361F5586874E409749E93953914fb060D-1776337925471totoro3miyazakifendopjesterthegoose
Record (consensus markets)no settled market59% (23–16, n=39)88% (7–1, n=8)80% (284–70, n=354)
Consensus PnL—$299K$16K$207K
Tracked asPM monthly #513was PM monthly #256was PM monthly #911was PM monthly #562 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Elections −5 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 58¢, ROI +36%100% of 7 at avg 89¢, ROI +17%80% of 579 at avg 79¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 100% of 1)0%14% (won 8% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 100% of 6)0%5% (won 39% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 12)0%5% (won 65% of 31)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 4)100% (won 100% of 7)75% (won 97% of 437)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.