PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x57D579b361F5586874E409749E93953914fb060D-1776337925471Vampiro1randomWalkingShrimpLuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market78% (2646–735, n=3381)78% (875–241, n=1116)88% (693–98, n=791)
Consensus PnL—$20K$40K$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #513PM monthly #543Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)74% (42 of 57 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won—67% of 1398 at avg 60¢, ROI +3%81% of 1025 at avg 72¢, ROI +8%88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 23% of 244)14% (won 19% of 145)7% (won 8% of 48)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 52% of 209)7% (won 49% of 70)4% (won 44% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢—20% (won 73% of 285)12% (won 79% of 124)7% (won 56% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up—47% (won 86% of 660)67% (won 98% of 686)83% (won 99% of 610)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x57D579b361F5586874E409749E93953914fb060D-1776337925471Vampiro1randomWalkingShrimpLuckyWin
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $484Yes $1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $440Yes $1