PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x57D579b361F5586874E409749E93953914fb060D-17763379254710x081cd40e9d1a90896612c189bf470b4fbae4f010fendopLuckyWin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (61–35, n=96)88% (7–1, n=8)88% (693–98, n=791)
Consensus PnL—$171K$16K$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #513PM monthly #898was PM monthly #911was PM monthly #579
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)100% (1 of 1 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Elections −38 pts, n=12—NBA −7 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won—82% of 82 at avg 53¢, ROI +16%100% of 7 at avg 89¢, ROI +17%88% of 738 at avg 88¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 33% of 6)0%7% (won 8% of 48)
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 62% of 21)0%4% (won 44% of 32)
Entries 50–70¢—61% (won 96% of 50)0%7% (won 56% of 48)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 80% of 5)100% (won 100% of 7)83% (won 99% of 610)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.