PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
segment3UnknownpoluyMEPP
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)49% (76–78, n=154)65% (345–184, n=529)
Consensus PnL$11K$3.3K$557K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #832was PM monthly #885was PM monthly #959 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (18 of 24 open)no open consensus position79% (65 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +43 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • NBA +27 pts n=16, ROI +29%
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=22Entertainment −18 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won100% of 3 at avg 85¢, ROI +22%78% of 97 at avg 48¢, ROI +37%66% of 767 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢0%9% (won 67% of 9)20% (won 14% of 151)
Entries 30–50¢0%45% (won 77% of 44)11% (won 34% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢0%41% (won 80% of 40)19% (won 66% of 144)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 100% of 4)51% (won 93% of 390)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsegment3UnknownpoluyMEPP
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $210—No $19K
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12K—Yes $1.3K
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.8K—Yes $1.9K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
same side · consensus No
Yes $540—Yes $1.8K