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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025BreakTheBankfantasy7788
Record (consensus markets)74% (181–63, n=244)54% (25–21, n=46)50% (5–5, n=10)
Consensus PnL$2.9K$737K$410K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #965PM monthly #1PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)57% (4 of 7 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCrypto −1 pts, n=118——
Settled positions, side won42% of 118 at avg 42¢, ROI 0%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 9% of 45)0%20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 44% of 32)57% (won 100% of 13)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 52% of 21)39% (won 100% of 9)60% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 100% of 1)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.