PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x206d008831124c6639058454A99C92BEF28a5eE7-1775511567714Mustafa11223344Treadmilled
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (55–56, n=111)66% (76–39, n=115)
Consensus PnL—$21K$193K
Tracked asPM monthly #708was PM monthly #781was PM monthly #976
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +11 pts n=26, ROI +20%
  • MLB +3 pts n=50, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——Crypto −14 pts, n=11
Settled positions, side won—56% of 89 at avg 51¢, ROI +12%65% of 120 at avg 63¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 0% of 25)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 55% of 38)15% (won 56% of 18)
Entries 50–70¢—56% (won 56% of 50)14% (won 71% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%50% (won 93% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.