PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-17788112810230x39dec86bf03744359f839071cdd9a7d1adce7a1d0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710Parkan312
Record (consensus markets)no settled market89% (24–3, n=27)49% (1213–1271, n=2484)82% (202–43, n=245)
Consensus PnL—$11K$60K$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #674was PM monthly #999Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus56% (22 of 39 open)no open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Politics −6 pts, n=74NHL −7 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won—84% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +19%55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%50% of 142 at avg 39¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 67% of 3)24% (won 19% of 254)35% (won 29% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 75% of 4)23% (won 40% of 241)37% (won 48% of 52)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 90% of 10)29% (won 70% of 304)20% (won 72% of 29)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 88% of 8)24% (won 89% of 250)8% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.