PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-17788112810230xbb39ba863319281427a482c8714ffdf69cb7ee8hi774c0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (72–55, n=127)57% (3351–2542, n=5893)95% (456–22, n=478)
Consensus PnL—$48K$195K-$138K
Tracked asPM monthly #674Hand-pickedPM monthly #112was PM monthly #584
Sides with the consensus56% (22 of 39 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Tech −16 pts, n=13—Soccer ±0 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won—58% of 218 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%100% of 3066 at avg 48¢, ROI +48%98% of 448 at avg 98¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—35% (won 5% of 76)7% (won 100% of 226)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 33% of 18)55% (won 100% of 1675)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 83% of 12)32% (won 100% of 967)0% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—51% (won 96% of 112)6% (won 99% of 198)99% (won 98% of 445)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.