PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023LonnieHawkinsCreamethod
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1265–1326, n=2591)67% (6–3, n=9)
Consensus PnL—$331K$13K
Tracked asPM monthly #674PM monthly #114was PM monthly #639
Sides with the consensus55% (18 of 33 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +11 pts n=1124, ROI +8%
  • NHL +8 pts n=15, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—77% of 1140 at avg 66¢, ROI +8%70% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢—16% (won 31% of 184)30% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 60% of 146)20% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 77% of 192)10% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up—54% (won 94% of 618)40% (won 75% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.