PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-17788112810230x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710NO.9kamitradecraft
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1213–1271, n=2484)66% (523–274, n=797)49% (2015–2122, n=4137)
Consensus PnL—$60K$959K$912K
Tracked asPM monthly #674Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #864PM monthly #293
Sides with the consensus56% (22 of 39 open)25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus position44% (4 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +7 pts n=1516, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=521, ROI +4%
  • NFL +11 pts n=102, ROI +19%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%81% of 633 at avg 45¢, ROI +35%57% of 2284 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)21% (won 44% of 131)31% (won 10% of 707)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)33% (won 84% of 210)18% (won 47% of 401)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)40% (won 95% of 256)19% (won 77% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)6% (won 97% of 36)33% (won 96% of 750)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.