PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-17788114477020x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710std0Satanishippie
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1212–1267, n=2479)95% (10382–509, n=10891)67% (287–141, n=428)
Consensus PnL—$60K$34K$147K
Tracked asPM monthly #549Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #985was PM monthly #917
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position25% (3 of 12 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
Weakest topic—Politics −6 pts, n=74——
Settled positions, side won—55% of 1049 at avg 50¢, ROI +8%99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%82% of 367 at avg 56¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—24% (won 19% of 254)1% (won 45% of 65)2% (won 44% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 40% of 241)15% (won 98% of 885)21% (won 70% of 77)
Entries 50–70¢—29% (won 70% of 304)78% (won 100% of 4649)67% (won 86% of 246)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 89% of 250)6% (won 96% of 380)10% (won 89% of 35)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.