PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52bVitaaalyashibagegeolegio
Record (consensus markets)no settled market66% (72–37, n=109)49% (157–166, n=323)49% (348–364, n=712)
Consensus PnL—$76K$99K$15K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994Hand-pickedHand-pickedwas PM monthly #886
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)100% (3 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +37 pts n=46, ROI +29%
  • Esports +10 pts n=171, ROI +9%
  • NHL +7 pts n=47, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −3 pts, n=127
Settled positions, side won—62% of 233 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%88% of 261 at avg 75¢, ROI +3%49% of 691 at avg 43¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—33% (won 21% of 76)10% (won 56% of 25)19% (won 22% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 26% of 23)5% (won 75% of 12)50% (won 44% of 345)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 76% of 34)16% (won 86% of 43)25% (won 69% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 97% of 100)69% (won 93% of 181)6% (won 88% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.