PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x17bec72f65b07cacd12000a0ba0ba162b6b7c52bdhju67uthfTheReturnOfDarthMaul0b1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market93% (329–25, n=354)66% (284–146, n=430)89% (222–28, n=250)
Consensus PnL—$49K$1.8M$88K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #855PM monthly #77was PM monthly #826
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position79% (48 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +35 pts n=313, ROI +31%
Weakest topic——Crypto −4 pts, n=84Tennis −2 pts, n=107
Settled positions, side won—93% of 314 at avg 58¢, ROI +31%62% of 416 at avg 61¢, ROI +9%90% of 225 at avg 90¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 62% of 26)29% (won 9% of 119)0%
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 79% of 48)11% (won 49% of 47)1% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—57% (won 99% of 180)10% (won 83% of 41)4% (won 25% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 60)50% (won 90% of 209)96% (won 93% of 215)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.