PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (7877–1078, n=8955)49% (157–166, n=323)49% (348–364, n=712)
Consensus PnL—$34K$99K$15K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994was PM monthly #985Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #886
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Crypto +45 pts n=5979, ROI +46%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=46, ROI +29%
  • Esports +10 pts n=171, ROI +9%
  • NHL +7 pts n=47, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −3 pts, n=127
Settled positions, side won—99% of 5979 at avg 53¢, ROI +46%88% of 261 at avg 75¢, ROI +3%49% of 691 at avg 43¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 45% of 65)10% (won 56% of 25)19% (won 22% of 129)
Entries 30–50¢—15% (won 98% of 885)5% (won 75% of 12)50% (won 44% of 345)
Entries 50–70¢—78% (won 100% of 4649)16% (won 86% of 43)25% (won 69% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—6% (won 96% of 380)69% (won 93% of 181)6% (won 88% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.