PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd80xd1f5c3dda3fe8d21f592c5f4d241c69fa2e793f40xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731allen114
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (8–6, n=14)49% (619–632, n=1251)82% (163–37, n=200)
Consensus PnL—$193$840K$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #915PM monthly #790was PM monthly #746was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +15 pts n=151, ROI +8%
  • Finance +10 pts n=28, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=22, ROI −1%
Weakest topic——Mentions −15 pts, n=44—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 25 at avg 91¢, ROI +2%57% of 1153 at avg 42¢, ROI +13%94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 50% of 2)21% (won 37% of 241)3% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—0%44% (won 56% of 513)3% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢—0%33% (won 70% of 384)16% (won 87% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—92% (won 96% of 23)1% (won 93% of 15)78% (won 98% of 213)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.