PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8Debosnys0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb20dFI121allen114
Record (consensus markets)no settled market91% (1259–124, n=1383)82% (46–10, n=56)82% (163–37, n=200)
Consensus PnL—$79K$10K$155K
Tracked asPM monthly #915Hand-pickedPM monthly #470was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (37 of 46 open)100% (1 of 1 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +15 pts n=151, ROI +8%
  • Finance +10 pts n=28, ROI +3%
  • Soccer +12 pts n=22, ROI −1%
Weakest topic—Weather −6 pts, n=50——
Settled positions, side won—91% of 1876 at avg 92¢, ROI +1%72% of 50 at avg 62¢, ROI +7%94% of 273 at avg 82¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 9% of 92)32% (won 31% of 16)3% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—2% (won 31% of 32)4% (won 50% of 2)3% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢—3% (won 57% of 51)2% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 87% of 45)
Entries 70¢ and up—91% (won 98% of 1701)62% (won 94% of 31)78% (won 98% of 213)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.