PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x11111111110xdc27...afdd9aRex416
Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)59% (1151–812, n=1963)59% (2278–1577, n=3855)
Consensus PnL$42K$29K$36K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #653PM monthly #248
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position77% (99 of 128 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +17 pts n=739, ROI +19%
Weakest topic——Tennis −4 pts, n=294
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%71% of 743 at avg 54¢, ROI +19%56% of 4201 at avg 56¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)17% (won 23% of 126)28% (won 7% of 1156)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 60% of 153)12% (won 36% of 520)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)40% (won 84% of 294)15% (won 61% of 611)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)23% (won 95% of 170)46% (won 90% of 1914)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.