PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1111111111alexubetGr33d
Record (consensus markets)97% (1131–33, n=1164)46% (56–65, n=121)89% (2106–259, n=2365)
Consensus PnL$41K$171K$35K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #993PM monthly #742Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +36 pts n=452, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +36 pts n=199, ROI +35%
  • MLB +35 pts n=167, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=53
Settled positions, side won100% of 896 at avg 64¢, ROI +37%50% of 139 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%92% of 3431 at avg 91¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 43)8% (won 45% of 11)3% (won 14% of 107)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 175)50% (won 53% of 70)1% (won 48% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 290)38% (won 45% of 53)5% (won 59% of 168)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 100% of 388)4% (won 80% of 5)91% (won 98% of 3112)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.