PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0f7ab62188e1fe1233d329ff4d75936811aa454b-1793036783897Champions26TrippleEXdarkumbreon88
Record (consensus markets)no settled market64% (381–212, n=593)60% (301–199, n=500)66% (1624–844, n=2468)
Consensus PnL—$19K-$213K-$6.7K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #669was PM monthly #597was PM monthly #883was PM monthly #833
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)40% (2 of 5 open)0% (0 of 1 open)67% (8 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=79, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +33 pts n=199, ROI +31%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=372Esports −4 pts, n=421—
Settled positions, side won—62% of 378 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%62% of 486 at avg 64¢, ROI −3%100% of 1444 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 35% of 17)3% (won 23% of 13)1% (won 100% of 16)
Entries 30–50¢—9% (won 34% of 35)14% (won 36% of 67)9% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 59% of 196)49% (won 56% of 237)38% (won 100% of 552)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 78% of 130)35% (won 83% of 169)51% (won 100% of 743)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.