PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x0f7ab62188e1fe1233d329ff4d75936811aa454b-1793036783897Rayaya0x86b5036c103366e770e14bf63771f22d2aeb16c4maiqiuyangjia
Record (consensus markets)no settled market61% (1111–720, n=1831)60% (3–2, n=5)65% (34–18, n=52)
Consensus PnL—-$48K$472$224K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #669PM monthly #772was PM monthly #959was PM monthly #403
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • Soccer +36 pts n=38, ROI +34%
  • NBA +24 pts n=21, ROI +7%
Weakest topic—Esports −1 pts, n=1735——
Settled positions, side won—61% of 1740 at avg 62¢, ROI −1%0% of 3 at avg 2¢, ROI +79%77% of 78 at avg 45¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 12% of 58)100% (won 0% of 3)6% (won 20% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 37% of 231)0%73% (won 86% of 57)
Entries 50–70¢—53% (won 61% of 927)0%21% (won 63% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up—30% (won 76% of 524)0%0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.