PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658zxdfbdfgngcxvfakeky
Record (consensus markets)no settled market88% (954–131, n=1085)82% (14–3, n=17)
Consensus PnL—$81K$62K
Tracked asPM monthly #664was PM monthly #851 + pinnedPM monthly #281
Sides with the consensus52% (34 of 66 open)80% (49 of 61 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Finance −3 pts, n=61—
Settled positions, side won—81% of 1781 at avg 79¢, ROI +2%97% of 39 at avg 73¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 9% of 237)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—5% (won 51% of 87)5% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢—6% (won 56% of 102)23% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up—76% (won 97% of 1355)69% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x005ED998fCb786679Eb8Bfd0d20c15C0903D6D8E-1778811773658zxdfbdfgngcxvfakeky
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $9Yes $4.3K—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
same side · consensus No
No $124No $4.2K—
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
same side · consensus Yes
No $61No $424—