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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4joseph00677yaokan
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market53% (10–9, n=19)94% (131–8, n=139)
Consensus PnL——$5.6M$18K
Tracked as——PM monthly #1was PM monthly #993
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 168 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢——12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢——6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 50–70¢——65% (won 73% of 11)0%
Entries 70¢ and up——18% (won 67% of 3)100% (won 99% of 168)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.