Consensus PnL -$34K · win rate 59% (162–114, n=276) · was PM monthly #994 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-34.1K
Record
162W / 114L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 276 settled
Batting Avg
71.4%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1158
Source
PM monthly #994
Trades
132
Markets
363
Volume
$286.1K
Specialties
105 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 82¢- Crypto
+18 pts
side won 100% of 13 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +21%
- Esports
+7 pts
side won 89% of 36 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +17%
Weakest: F1 — held side won 77% of 22 at an average 78¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI +5%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 0% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 67% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 14%(won 87% of 15)
- 70¢ and up: 80%(won 94% of 84)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.