Consensus PnL $10K · win rate 57% (1071–810, n=1881) · was PM monthly #863 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$10.4K
Record
1071W / 810L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 1881 settled
Batting Avg
55.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1267
Source
PM monthly #863
Trades
2,139
Markets
2,579
Volume
$4.9M
Specialties
2,110 settled consensus markets · held side won 68% at an average entry of 58¢- Esports
+15 pts
side won 74% of 834 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +12%
- Tennis
+11 pts
side won 70% of 532 · avg entry 59¢
ROI +9%
- Other Sports
+14 pts
side won 74% of 62 · avg entry 60¢
ROI +8%
Weakest: College Basketball — held side won 51% of 55 at an average 55¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 26% of 81)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 53% of 508)
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 70% of 1055)
- 70¢ and up: 22%(won 84% of 466)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.