Consensus PnL $44K · win rate 79% (30–8, n=38) · PM monthly #522 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$43.6K
Record
30W / 8L
Win Rate
79.0%
of 38 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#386
Source
PM monthly #522
Record (90 d)
24/30 · 80%
Trades
40
Markets
51
Volume
$2.4M
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Specialties
44 settled consensus markets · held side won 77% at an average entry of 67¢- Elections
+5 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 95¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 17% of 12)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 7%(won 100% of 3)
- 70¢ and up: 61%(won 100% of 27)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.