Consensus PnL -$33K · win rate 72% (197–75, n=272) · PM monthly #978 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-32.6K
Record
197W / 75L
Win Rate
72.0%
of 272 settled
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#446
Source
PM monthly #978
Record (90 d)
273/290 · 94%
Trades
0
Markets
408
Volume
$1.9M
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Specialties
288 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 69¢- Esports
+25 pts
side won 94% of 288 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +22%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 50% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 8%(won 58% of 24)
- 50–70¢: 41%(won 96% of 117)
- 70¢ and up: 50%(won 100% of 143)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.