Consensus PnL $37K · win rate 97% (3222–83, n=3305) · PM monthly #915 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$37.1K
Record
3222W / 83L
Win Rate
97.0%
of 3305 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#117
Source
PM monthly #915
Trades
634
Markets
3,464
Volume
$25.8M
Specialties
3,253 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 97¢- NBA
+2 pts
side won 100% of 10 · avg entry 98¢
ROI +3%
Weakest: College Basketball — held side won 92% of 13 at an average 99¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI −15%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 0% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 36% of 14)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 59% of 29)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 99% of 3203)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.