Consensus PnL $4.8K · win rate 19% (9–39, n=48) · PM monthly #912 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$4.8K
Record
9W / 39L
Win Rate
19.0%
of 48 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1671
Source
PM monthly #912
Record (90 d)
5/6 · 83%
Trades
61
Markets
48
Volume
$228.1K
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Specialties
47 settled consensus markets · held side won 19% at an average entry of 30¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Strident-Urn-Nourishment's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 10% of 41 at an average 24¢ entry (−14 pts against the price), ROI −12%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 57%(won 4% of 27)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 13% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 17% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 13%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.