Consensus PnL $11K · win rate 58% (256–186, n=442) · PM monthly #632 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$10.5K
Record
256W / 186L
Win Rate
58.0%
of 442 settled
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#840
Source
PM monthly #632
Record (90 d)
133/142 · 94%
Trades
0
Markets
766
Volume
$1.1M
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Specialties
242 settled consensus markets · held side won 99% at an average entry of 71¢- Esports
+28 pts
side won 99% of 242 · avg entry 71¢
ROI +27%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 86% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 97% of 35)
- 50–70¢: 27%(won 98% of 66)
- 70¢ and up: 55%(won 100% of 134)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.