No settled consensus market yet · hand-picked wallet · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
Hand-picked
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
620 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 80¢- Politics
+6 pts
side won 95% of 75 · avg entry 88¢
ROI +8%
- Tech
+2 pts
side won 90% of 41 · avg entry 88¢
ROI +2%
- Culture
+4 pts
side won 96% of 23 · avg entry 92¢
ROI +9%
Weakest: Crypto — held side won 84% of 44 at an average 88¢ entry (−4 pts against the price), ROI +1%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 8% of 84)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 40% of 30)
- 50–70¢: 5%(won 67% of 33)
- 70¢ and up: 76%(won 97% of 473)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.