Consensus PnL -$262K · win rate 39% (193–304, n=497) · was PM monthly #838 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-261.5K
Record
193W / 304L
Win Rate
39.0%
of 497 settled
Batting Avg
83.3%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1513
Source
PM monthly #838
Record (90 d)
39/81 · 48%
Trades
909
Markets
591
Volume
$5.5M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Specialties
546 settled consensus markets · held side won 40% at an average entry of 39¢- Tennis
+6 pts
side won 56% of 27 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +1%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 36% of 99 at an average 45¢ entry (−9 pts against the price), ROI −6%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 30%(won 14% of 164)
- 30–50¢: 41%(won 43% of 223)
- 50–70¢: 22%(won 59% of 118)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 71% of 41)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.