Consensus PnL -$54K · win rate 63% (119–71, n=190) · was PM monthly #996 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-53.7K
Record
119W / 71L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 190 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#748
Source
PM monthly #996
Record (90 d)
7/9 · 78%
Trades
281
Markets
229
Volume
$2.1M
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Specialties
221 settled consensus markets · held side won 63% at an average entry of 57¢- Esports
+6 pts
side won 64% of 194 · avg entry 58¢
ROI +5%
- Geopolitics
+5 pts
side won 57% of 14 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +12%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 8%(won 24% of 17)
- 30–50¢: 20%(won 48% of 44)
- 50–70¢: 57%(won 67% of 126)
- 70¢ and up: 15%(won 91% of 34)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.