Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 55% (295–239, n=534) · PM monthly #975 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$19.3K
Record
295W / 239L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 534 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#960
Source
PM monthly #975
Record (90 d)
124/220 · 56%
Trades
649
Markets
1,234
Volume
$4.6M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Specialties
520 settled consensus markets · held side won 56% at an average entry of 56¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where Hawk.live's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Esports — held side won 55% of 514 at an average 55¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI −3%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 23%(won 4% of 121)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 28% of 79)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 68% of 128)
- 70¢ and up: 37%(won 92% of 192)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.