Consensus PnL -$275K · win rate 34% (130–247, n=377) · PM monthly #770 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-275.0K
Record
130W / 247L
Win Rate
34.0%
of 377 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1569
Source
PM monthly #770
Record (90 d)
58/194 · 30%
Trades
686
Markets
432
Volume
$3.1M
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Specialties
397 settled consensus markets · held side won 35% at an average entry of 36¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where verifly's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Esports — held side won 35% of 392 at an average 37¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI −4%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 31%(won 21% of 122)
- 30–50¢: 56%(won 41% of 221)
- 50–70¢: 13%(won 42% of 53)
- 70¢ and up: 0%(won 0% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.