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30

korandnik

No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #726 · holds 2 consensus positions

0x309ccb4b...dc51e6fbPolymarket

Consensus PnL

$0

Source

PM monthly #726

Trades

0

Markets

0

Volume

$0

Top consensus positions

2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)

Specialties

69 settled consensus markets · held side won 90% at an average entry of 62¢
  • Esports

    +31 pts

    side won 96% of 49 · avg entry 65¢

    ROI +34%

  • Crypto

    +19 pts

    side won 74% of 19 · avg entry 55¢

    ROI +9%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 4%(won 33% of 3)
  • 30–50¢: 22%(won 93% of 15)
  • 50–70¢: 33%(won 87% of 23)
  • 70¢ and up: 41%(won 96% of 28)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.