Consensus PnL -$70K · win rate 72% (1087–417, n=1504) · was PM monthly #882 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-69.8K
Record
1087W / 417L
Win Rate
72.0%
of 1504 settled
Batting Avg
98.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#455
Source
PM monthly #882
Record (90 d)
274/337 · 81%
Trades
705
Markets
1,577
Volume
$365.8K
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Specialties
1,316 settled consensus markets · held side won 75% at an average entry of 41¢- Crypto
+36 pts
side won 78% of 1208 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +16%
- NBA
+19 pts
side won 49% of 96 · avg entry 30¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 43% of 326)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 84% of 487)
- 50–70¢: 36%(won 88% of 470)
- 70¢ and up: 3%(won 91% of 33)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.