Consensus PnL -$121K · win rate 96% (545–25, n=570) · PM monthly #588 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-121.2K
Record
545W / 25L
Win Rate
96.0%
of 570 settled
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#114
Source
PM monthly #588
Record (90 d)
394/404 · 98%
Trades
0
Markets
572
Volume
$15.3M
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Specialties
538 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 98¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where 0x2Cc8Cc54F50DbB45fE346612821CA93B6E93262B-1780571709186's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Soccer — held side won 97% of 449 at an average 98¢ entry (±0 pts against the price), ROI 0%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%(won 0% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 0%(won 50% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 99%(won 98% of 534)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.