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Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownUpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$17.14
Combined PnL
-$27.5
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares30
Combined PnL-$34.89
Down3 traders
Total Value$17.14
Total Shares17
Combined PnL+$7.39
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 88.8¢ | $22.09 | — | -$22.09 | 66% 130853-67700 (198553) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $4.8 | $10 | +$5.2 | 55% 51918-43034 (94952) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $7.83 | — | -$7.83 | 65% 130517-70309 (200826) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.1¢ | $4.91 | $5 | +$0.09 | 61% 98777-62719 (161496) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.04 | $2.14 | +$2.1 | 59% 63938-45089 (109027) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 72¢ | $4.98 | — | -$4.98 | 65% 114739-61779 (176518) |
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$22.09
Value
—
PnL
-$22.09
Record
66%
130853-67700 (198553)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.2
Record
55%
51918-43034 (94952)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$7.83
Value
—
PnL
-$7.83
Record
65%
130517-70309 (200826)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.91
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.09
Record
61%
98777-62719 (161496)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
$2.14
PnL
+$2.1
Record
59%
63938-45089 (109027)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.98
Value
—
PnL
-$4.98
Record
65%
114739-61779 (176518)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdb30d6ac...d3186f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794046500