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DownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$30.27
Combined PnL
-$6.01
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$30.27
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$0.58
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$6.59
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 67.5¢ | $15.3 | $15.27 | +$0.44 | 65% 130517-70309 (200826) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99.1¢ | $14.86 | $15 | +$0.14 | 66% 130853-67700 (198553) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.7¢ | $4.87 | — | -$4.87 | 61% 46226-29401 (75627) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.25 | — | -$0.25 | 55% 51918-43034 (94952) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 59% 63938-45089 (109027) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.6¢ | $1.39 | — | -$1.39 | 65% 114739-61779 (176518) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$15.3
Value
$15.27
PnL
+$0.44
Record
65%
130517-70309 (200826)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$14.86
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.14
Record
66%
130853-67700 (198553)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.87
Value
—
PnL
-$4.87
Record
61%
46226-29401 (75627)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
—
PnL
-$0.25
Record
55%
51918-43034 (94952)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
59%
63938-45089 (109027)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$1.39
Value
—
PnL
-$1.39
Record
65%
114739-61779 (176518)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x240b555b...1d71ab
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794046200