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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

6

Up 17%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$890.1

Combined PnL

-$85.82

Smart Money Signal

Up

1 of 6 top traders (17%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up1 trader

Total Value$400

Total Shares400

Combined PnL+$176.48

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares410

Combined PnL-$262.3

Up — 17%Down — 83%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.5¢	$523.38	$490.1	-$16.66	54% 4416-3739 (8155)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.5¢	$257.79	—	-$257.1
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.1¢	$245.52	$490.1	+$240.44
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 55.9¢	$223.52	$400	+$176.48	57% 4084-3020 (7104)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 45.2¢	$212.33	—	-$212.33	49% 3753-3853 (7606)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 41.6¢	$28.81	—	-$28.81	43% 2221-2992 (5213)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Downavg 80¢	$4	—	-$4	70% 1911-827 (2738)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 72.7¢	$11.92	—	-$6.92	60% 4369-2959 (7328)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 23.2¢	$10.24	—	-$10.24	36% 1532-2761 (4293)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$523.38

Value

$490.1

PnL

-$16.66

Record

54%

4416-3739 (8155)

Both legs:

Down$257.7950.5¢-$257.1

Up$245.5250.1¢+$240.44

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$223.52

Value

$400

PnL

+$176.48

Record

57%

4084-3020 (7104)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$212.33

Value

—

PnL

-$212.33

Record

49%

3753-3853 (7606)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$28.81

Value

—

PnL

-$28.81

Record

43%

2221-2992 (5213)

BoneOhioCTR<$100

Invested

$4

Value

—

PnL

-$4

Record

70%

1911-827 (2738)

Invested

$11.92

Value

—

PnL

-$6.92

Record

60%

4369-2959 (7328)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$10.24

Value

—

PnL

-$10.24

Record

36%

1532-2761 (4293)

Smart Money Signal

Up

1 of 6 top traders (17%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x5724a2dc...c1c225

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794782700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $400

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

BoneOhio

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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