Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$712.4

Combined PnL

-$21.77

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$207.4

Total Shares207

Combined PnL+$64.93

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares296

Combined PnL-$86.7

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.4¢	$516.32	$505	-$1.95	54% 4385-3706 (8091)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.4¢	$254.5	$505	+$249.55
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$244.34	—	-$251.5
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 76.2¢	$66.36	$83	+$16.64	49% 3718-3826 (7544)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 52.7¢	$34.25	$65	+$30.75	58% 4049-2979 (7028)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 81¢	$20.25	$25	+$4.75	49% 2590-2661 (5251)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 83¢	$11.65	$14.04	+$2.39	60% 4351-2951 (7302)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 31¢	$4.65	$15	+$10.35	44% 2484-3215 (5699)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.31	$5.36	+$0.05	98% 4661-98 (4759)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 29.8¢	$86.65	—	-$86.65	43% 2210-2957 (5167)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	36% 1528-2731 (4259)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$516.32

Value

$505

PnL

-$1.95

Record

54%

4385-3706 (8091)

Both legs:

Up$254.550.4¢+$249.55

Down$244.3449.9¢-$251.5

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$66.36

Value

$83

PnL

+$16.64

Record

49%

3718-3826 (7544)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$34.25

Value

$65

PnL

+$30.75

Record

58%

4049-2979 (7028)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$20.25

Value

$25

PnL

+$4.75

Record

49%

2590-2661 (5251)

Invested

$11.65

Value

$14.04

PnL

+$2.39

Record

60%

4351-2951 (7302)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$4.65

Value

$15

PnL

+$10.35

Record

44%

2484-3215 (5699)

Invested

$5.31

Value

$5.36

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

4661-98 (4759)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$86.65

Value

—

PnL

-$86.65

Record

43%

2210-2957 (5167)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

36%

1528-2731 (4259)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0xb4ade605...6b8e15

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794780000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $83

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $65

uninformedfloww

Up — $25

aaa221

Up — $14.04

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15

hoodquant

Up — $5.36

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket