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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Down 60%

Total Value

$968.36

Combined PnL

-$20.89

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$968.36

Total Shares968

Combined PnL+$22.08

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares89

Combined PnL-$42.96

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.1¢	$526.45	$499.58	+$3.94	54% 4350-3681 (8031)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 69¢	$396.47	$396.23	-$0.23	49% 3684-3801 (7485)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 44.8¢	$26.5	$41.54	+$15.04	58% 4041-2969 (7010)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$19.8	$20	+$0.2	98% 4630-97 (4727)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 37.1¢	$36.78	—	-$36.78	36% 1518-2714 (4232)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$5	$5	+$0	54% 1650-1425 (3075)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 48¢	$2.88	$6	+$3.12	43% 2188-2930 (5118)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 41¢	$2.05	—	-$2.05	48% 2606-2865 (5471)
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.38	—	-$1.38	31% 70-158 (228)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 48.1¢	$2.75	—	-$2.75	50% 2915-2911 (5826)

Invested

$526.45

Value

$499.58

PnL

+$3.94

Record

54%

4350-3681 (8031)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$396.47

Value

$396.23

PnL

-$0.23

Record

49%

3684-3801 (7485)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$26.5

Value

$41.54

PnL

+$15.04

Record

58%

4041-2969 (7010)

Invested

$19.8

Value

$20

PnL

+$0.2

Record

98%

4630-97 (4727)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$36.78

Value

—

PnL

-$36.78

Record

36%

1518-2714 (4232)

Invested

$5

Value

$5

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

1650-1425 (3075)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$2.88

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.12

Record

43%

2188-2930 (5118)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.05

Value

—

PnL

-$2.05

Record

48%

2606-2865 (5471)

YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100

Invested

$1.38

Value

—

PnL

-$1.38

Record

31%

70-158 (228)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.75

Value

—

PnL

-$2.75

Record

50%

2915-2911 (5826)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 10 top traders (60%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf5080b35...51b0e3

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794775500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $499.58

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $396.23

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $41.54

hoodquant

Down — $20

antsaslyku

Up — $0

0x50f7

Down — $5

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

YouSayUpISayDown

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

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