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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 50%

Total Value

$176.54

Combined PnL

-$471.65

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares600
Combined PnL-$507.64
Up5 traders
Total Value$176.54
Total Shares177
Combined PnL+$35.98
Down — 50%Up — 50%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$511.9

Value

—

PnL

-$491.24

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100
Up

Invested

$60.74

Value

$73

PnL

+$12.26

Record

58%

4006-2920 (6926)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$53.41

Value

$70.53

PnL

+$17.12

Record

49%

3629-3730 (7359)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$11.83

Value

$13.37

PnL

+$1.54

Record

49%

2495-2563 (5058)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.35

Value

—

PnL

-$11.35

Record

49%

1742-1781 (3523)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Up

Invested

$9.67

Value

$14.68

PnL

+$5.01

Record

36%

1488-2638 (4126)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$4.91

Value

$4.96

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

4498-92 (4590)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.3

Value

—

PnL

-$0.3

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.35

Value

—

PnL

-$3.35

Record

44%

2407-3121 (5528)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

50%

2835-2829 (5664)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x38114c47...39e70a
Slug
xrp-updown-15m-1794762900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$491.24
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $73

+$12.26
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $70.53

+$17.12
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $13.37

+$1.54

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.35
AN

antsaslyku

Up — $14.68

+$5.01
HO

hoodquant

Up — $4.96

+$0.05
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.3

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.35
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.4
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