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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Down 64%

Total Value

$691.51

Combined PnL

$2.73

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$691.51

Total Shares692

Combined PnL+$13.99

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares116

Combined PnL-$11.25

Down — 64%Up — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Downavg 50.1¢	$510.63	$499	+$4.1	54% 4218-3562 (7780)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 77.9¢	$78.44	$81.66	+$3.22	49% 3629-3730 (7359)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 54.4¢	$50.03	$49	+$4.82	58% 4006-2920 (6926)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 4.5¢	$3.04	—	-$3.04	42% 2086-2846 (4932)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$23.08	$23.1	+$0.02	53% 1595-1405 (3000)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 96.5¢	$27.87	$28.89	+$1.02	60% 4239-2880 (7119)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.81	$4.86	+$0.05	98% 4498-92 (4590)
0X 0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100	Downavg 85¢	$4.25	$5	+$0.75	50% 109-107 (216)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 11.4¢	$2.38	—	-$2.38	49% 1742-1781 (3523)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$4.79	—	-$4.79	36% 1488-2638 (4126)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 15.2¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	50% 2835-2829 (5664)

Invested

$510.63

Value

$499

PnL

+$4.1

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$78.44

Value

$81.66

PnL

+$3.22

Record

49%

3629-3730 (7359)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$50.03

Value

$49

PnL

+$4.82

Record

58%

4006-2920 (6926)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.04

Value

—

PnL

-$3.04

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

Invested

$23.08

Value

$23.1

PnL

+$0.02

Record

53%

1595-1405 (3000)

Invested

$27.87

Value

$28.89

PnL

+$1.02

Record

60%

4239-2880 (7119)

Invested

$4.81

Value

$4.86

PnL

+$0.05

Record

98%

4498-92 (4590)

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819<$100

Invested

$4.25

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.75

Record

50%

109-107 (216)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$2.38

Value

—

PnL

-$2.38

Record

49%

1742-1781 (3523)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$4.79

Value

—

PnL

-$4.79

Record

36%

1488-2638 (4126)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

50%

2835-2829 (5664)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xce316ebc...d46942

Slug

xrp-updown-15m-1794761100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $499

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $81.66

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $49

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

0x50f7

Down — $23.1

aaa221

Down — $28.89

hoodquant

Down — $4.86

0x06b2934b382D4429D50d7239eE375a76167f9f35-1723887278819

Down — $5

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

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